Tag Archives: News

Don’t Be Fooled By Polls

Posted by Tim on

It seems like every time I turn on the news, no matter what channel it is, I hear the same thing. Obama has a lead over Romney, and how could this be? With the economy in shambles and another recession right around the corner; with high unemployment and a workforce that is shrinking with every jobs report; with more people dependent on government handouts and more people on food stamps than ever before, how is Obama winning in the polls?

These news casters, the talking heads and idiotic pundits, inevitably put negative thoughts in the heads of people who ask me the same question – how is Obama winning, and does Romney have a chance? I’m here with good news for the Romney team, good news for Republicans, and bad news for people wandering around with their hands constantly stretched out, waiting for someone to pay their way.

Most polls are very deceptive off the bat. Most people do not realize that these polls almost always ask more Democrats than Republicans who they’ll be voting for. If 13% more Democrats answer a poll, it only makes sense that the poll shows Obama winning. The bright light becomes visible when we realize that even though 13% more Democrats took a poll, the results only show Obama winning by 7%. If we were to even things out, that same poll may show an even result, or perhaps a Romney lead.

The polls can also be deceptive when they show Obama leads among “registered” voters. The voters that count are not registered voters, they are “likely” voters. It doesn’t matter if someone “likes” or “dislikes” Obama’s record on the economy. The only thing that matters is if that person is going to vote for or against Obama in November. Many polls are done on registered voters, not likely voters, but are averaged in as if they have the same meaning. They don’t, so don’t be fooled.

There is a lot of history to show that Obama will lose. If we look back in time, with the exception of FDR, no president has been reelected with an unemployment rate over 8%. The US unemployment rate currently sits at 8.3%, and if we add in people who have just given up looking for work, and people who are underemployed, that rate looks much worse. The REAL unemployment rate is somewhere around 15%.

People like to claim that the Clinton years were a period of great growth, often forgetting the measures set in place 10 years earlier by Ronald Reagan. None the less, the 90s are still seen as a fairly good time, and many people attribute that to Bill Clinton. When Obama begins running his campaign based on Bill Clinton’s record, rather than his own; when Obama commercials feature Bill Clinton instead of Obama; and when Bill Clinton draws more excitement and gives a better speech at the DNC, things are NOT looking good for Obama, and he knows it.

Ronald Reagan was losing in the polls until two weeks before his election against sitting president Jimmy Carter. Reagan ended up winning in a landslide, and did so again in the 1984 elections. Polls today are not used to depict the voice of the people. Rather, they are used to change the voice of the people. No one wants to support a loser, so pollsters who are in Obama’s pocket will continue to tout Obama as a clear winner, hoping that this will cause people to see Romney as a weak candidate and as Obama as the “inevitable” champion.

Polls mean next to nothing today, and they won’t until a couple of weeks before the election. We are still weeks away from the election, haven’t seen a single debate yet, and have only seen the tip of the iceberg as far as campaign advertising goes. The battle is far from over, and the best chapters are yet to come. Do not be discouraged by these negative polls. Keep working on Romney’s behalf; talk to your friends and coworkers; put up a Romney sign in your yard and a Romney sticker on your car or truck; make a campaign contribution. With more people working on our side than in 2008, and fewer people working on his side than 2008, 2012 is sure to be a change. Not the kind of “change” that Obama wants, though.

When Reality Strikes You Hard

Posted by Tim on

In the wake of Scott Walker’s win in his recall election, Democrats are scrambling to come up with an excuse as to why they lost. Not only did Walker win, but he won by 7 points (53/46) and over 100,000 votes – a stronger victory than his original win in 2010. This shows that not only does Wisconsin want him as their governor, but that they like him even more after he implemented Act 10, the legislation limiting collective bargaining rights of public workers.

CNN was lucky enough to film a goofball on the streets crying (literally) about how “democracy is dead”. Of course, the fact that there have been 7 elections in the last 17 months disproves his hypothesis about the death of democracy. He went on to say that Walker outspent his opponent by $30 million. Again – when we look at third party expenditures, we see that Walker and his opponents spend about the same amount – each around $60 million since early 2011. A lot of money, no doubt, but not nearly as one-sided as the left would have it seem.

But as the facts start to come out, Democrats still refuse to accept the truth. Instead, (in an article found HERE) they point to the Republicans’ new strategy of “class warfare” – turning the middle class against itself. Non union workers are now turned against union workers and they’re anger is based solely in envy and fear. A ridiculous concept considering the entire 99% vs 1% movement (classic class warfare) was started by the left. The left attempting to explain away their sad loss by saying Republicans are using class warfare is laughable. The article goes on to say that instead of turning union against non union, they say we should be turning 99% against 1%! In one sentence condemn class warfare, and in the next use it yourself. Beautiful.

No, the truth of the matter is that Wisconsin and America are not leftists. In fact, the majority of Americans do not classify themselves as liberals, or even Democrats. When push comes to shove, more Americans call themselves conservatives than liberals. The media would have you believe otherwise. A near monopoly on newspapers, local and cable news, and public radio and television gives the impression that liberal ideas are the norm when in fact they are not. This election told the truth loud and clear – Wisconsin is just not a fan of liberal socialist policies.

But the truth about Scott Walker and elections isn’t enough. Shinning some light on this whole 99% thing could be useful as well. So let’s break it down real quick. The statistics that show a majority of the wealth clumped into the top tax bracket follows on certain brackets (via census). If you want a better picture of who “has all the money”, the IRS tells a very interesting story, due to the fact that it follows flesh and blood individuals, not abstract groups. IRS statistics show that most people in 1% are only there for a year! Not only that, but most people move through a number of different tax brackets throughout their life.

The idea that the 1% or even that “the rich” are an enduring class is simply not true. The same people who were rich and in the 1% 20 years ago are not the same people who are there today. And the people there today will most likely not be the same people there next year. Hating “the rich” is simply hating success. Anyone who is successful enough to get into the 1%, if even for a single year, needs to be punished and taxed endlessly until they fall from the 1%? Now that is class warfare!

I hear it all too often – the rich get richer and the poor get ______. Fill in the blank. That’s right – poorer. Again, its just simply not true. For this one we don’t even need to read off any statistics. Just look around and tell me that the poor today are worse off than they were 20 years ago. The “poor” as government defines them aren’t actually poor, they just don’t earn a lot of money. There are legitimately poor people, no doubt, but most “poor” people have air conditioning, cable TV, video games, cars, and cell phones. How is it that the poor are worse off today than they were 20 years ago?

Capitalism works because even the lowest earning group of people see a raise in their standard of living. The money made up top trickles down, products become cheaper to produce, and more people (including the “poor”) benefit. Those who believe in class warfare ought to take a look around and see how capitalism has raised more people out of poverty than all socialist government programs combined. Equality and prosperity are not the same thing, and forced equality will most certainly lead to a less prosperous society. History has proven it again and again.

SPECIAL: Andrew Breitbart Dies at 43

Posted by Tim on

We lost a good one. Last night around midnight Andrew Breitbart died at age 43. While going for a late night stroll, Andrew Breitbart suddenly collapsed. Paramedics were called, and they tried to revive him. Unfortunately, he passed shortly after. Andrew left behind his wife, Susannah, and four children.

Don’t know who Andrew Breitbart was? Remember the whole ACORN scandal in 2008? Remember the Anthony Weiner incident? Well, Andrew Breitbart was the man behind both of those, and countless other investigations. He was a conservative master mind from Los Angeles, who continually pushed the envelope. He exposed corruption, took on the media head on, and never let his opinion be unknown. If you don’t know who Andrew was, you ought to. We really lost someone special.

I first heard the news this morning while brushing my teeth and watching Fox News. “Breaking News – Andrew Breitbart is dead!” I was stunned. I had just been watching old interviews of him the other night on YouTube. Something was up. What exactly are “natural causes” for a 43 year old? As I started my work day, I shared the news with my coworkers. Many of them had a similar reaction – confusion. And after I told them what Breitbart had been saying just a month before he died, they turned into conspiracy theorists.

At the 2012 Conservative Political Action Conference, Andrew Breitbart gave a speech. During his speech he did a little foreshadowing. We all knew that Andrew has an uncanny ability to dig up dirt on people. Well, he claimed to have hit the mother load. “I have videos…”, he said. “Videos no one has seen. Videos of Barack Obama in college!” Wow! That was a stunner. Obama’s college days are largely kept secret. We don’t know his grades, his friends, his teachers, the essays he wrote, the things he said. It’s all been a mystery. Not anymore, thanks to Andrew Breitbart.

So what did Andrew find? We don’t know yet. The plan was to release the videos sometime before the 2012 presidential election. I assume that the videos will still be released, but could Breitbart’s death be related to these videos? Was his death really “natural causes”? I must be losing my mind.

I then came to a point of denial. You know what – Andrew Breitbart isn’t dead. He’s faking his death, and he’s going to come back before the 2012 election and release these videos, in pure media-craze fashion. It sounds like something he might actually do. Later I read more reports on his death, and came to the sad conclusion that yes – Andrew Breitbart is dead.

Like I said before, we really lost a good one. Luckily, he left behind his many websites that will continue to put out conservative news. Sites like Breitbart.com, BigGovernment.com, and BigJournalism.com. Last but not least, he left behind the videos that many of us are dying to see – those videos of Barack Obama in college. Andrew’s legacy will live on.